PRDM Insider
A weekly assessment of what's moving in geopolitics and what it means for business.
Issue 07 · Sep 22, 2026 — The Houthis Are Not Closing the Red Sea. They Are Licensing It.
Issue 06 · Sep 14, 2026 — The Market Priced the Strait. It Never Priced the Bypass.
Issue 05 · Sep 8, 2026 — Hormuz at Six Months: $330 Billion the Benchmark Never Priced
Issue 04 · Aug 28, 2026 — US–Canada Trade Talks Collapse Over Truck Tariffs. Retaliation Starts September 8.
Issue 03 · Aug 21, 2026 — Tariff Truce Buys Time, Not Certainty
Political Risk Resilience: Inferring Firm-Specific Transmission of Political Shocks
Author: Scott R. Siler
Working Paper | May 2026
Political Risk Resilience (PRR) helps investors and companies understand how specific political shocks translate into firm-level business risk. Instead of assigning a broad political risk score, PRR tests whether individual companies show repeatable patterns of stress, opportunity, or neutrality when exposed to events like sanctions, trade policy changes, export controls, regulatory shifts, or geopolitical disruption. The result is a practical map of which risks matter for which firms, where the market response is backed by evidence, andwhere leaders should avoid chasing every headline.
Description
A concise field manual for professionals building careers in political risk—emphasizing judgment, positioning, and decision-making under uncertainty rather than academic theory.
Here’s what readers are saying:
“I wish I had it 5 years ago when I started out. I'm still trying to find my footing in this space and it answered a lot of the questions others in the field couldn't.
It cleared up a lot of assumptions I had made about the industry and gave me better direction.”
Clarke Walker, Global Political Consultant, A.G. Sanning